Thanks for coming back with your comments Pete, really helpful context.
OETH Dependency
To clarify, it looks like DeFiLlama includes the OETH held within LP positions, giving a headline TVL of ~$100m, whereas the OETH landing page excludes POL and reports closer to ~$65m. There is also a discrepancy in the 30d yield, with DeFiLlama showing ~2.18% versus ~2.42% on the landing page.
I assume the unbacked OETH within the AMO is excluded from yield accrual on the Origin side, but still included in DeFiLlamaās calculation. It would be helpful if you could confirm this.
From an ETHplus perspective, I remain cautious about including POL in dependency calculations. Given this liquidity is unbacked, centrally controlled and withdrawable at discretion, I would lean toward using the POL-excluded figure.
Exit Liquidity and the AMO
I appreciate the additional detail on the AMO design. That said, I donāt think this fully addresses the core concern around liquidity concentration and control.
A large portion of OETHās exit liquidity depends on protocol-owned capital that Origin can withdraw at any time. While Origin are strong operators, they will act in their own interest to protect the protocol.
In a stressed scenario, there are plausible cases where this liquidity is reduced or removed, for example to defend the balance sheet if assets become unbacked or manage risk across the ecosystem. If that were to happen, however unlikely, ETHplus could be left holding a large share of OETH supply with impaired exit liquidity.
This is particularly relevant given ETHplusā execution model. Rebalances occur over days to weeks, not hours. In a fast-moving market, this creates a risk that we cannot exit in time and are instead forced to unwind via auctions and shallow DEX liquidity at unfavourable prices. Given the relatively thin overcollateralization buffer, losses may not be fully absorbed at the stRSR layer and could impact holders directly.
Relative Framing vs Frax
As Pete has mentioned, it is worth restating that similar AMO dynamics exist within Frax Finance and Frax Ether.
While frxETH has additional exposures within itās AMO such as pzETH and ezETH, current allocations appear limited, with most capital still in ETH, stETH and WETH LP positions. ETHplus already has exposure to this model via frxETH, so this is not a new risk vector.
Framing for Governors
At this stage, this is more a question of sizing and risk tolerance.
OETH is a strong asset under normal conditions and could help address current challenges within the ETHplus basket.
However, governors should weigh this against the structural risk that a meaningful portion of liquidity is:
- Centrally controlled
- Potentially transient
- Most likely to disappear in stress scenarios
In my view, if we allocate to OETH, this supports a conservative initial position within methodology constraints, while monitoring how the AMO evolves.